Market Error Lab · Research Only
Legacy tracked-position signals (v5.1 baseline)
This comparison panel shows the previous tracked-position model, not the new full-slate private-beta scorer.
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Legacy position-based workbench (older model)
Positions
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How to read your Positions screen
The actual Kalshi contract you own. A combo only wins if its required legs settle the way your contract specifies.
What you paid. This is different from the latest trade or what someone will currently pay you to exit.
Last trade plus the live bid/ask when available. The best bid is the most useful reference for what you could potentially sell for now.
Actual game stat versus the target, how much is still needed, and the current full-game pace projection.
Our modeled probability for that leg. Edge compares our fair probability with the current Kalshi ask.
Green = HOLD • Blue = BUY MORE • Amber = WATCH urgency • Red = SELL • Gray = NO CALL. The decision must come from the separately certified Buy/Sell/Hold engine. Older LIVE-EXIT-v1 research is not a validated recommendation.
Model Performance
Historical calibration and accuracy of Prop Pilot's pregame probabilities.
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Account activity
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Injury News
Tracked-player injury status from ESPN, tied directly to your props.
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Security & Connections
Passkey & Biometric Sign-in
Use fingerprint, face unlock, your device PIN, or a security key. Password sign-in stays available as a backup.
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Browser Notifications
Open this tab to set up and test web notifications.
Manage users
Add a beta user and Prop Pilot automatically sends the signup invitation from evan@yoshinolabs.com. Pending users can receive another message through Send invite.
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Beta users & invitations
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More
Performance, NFL injury context, and your account connections.